Monthly Archives: April 2014 – fantasy basketball, player rankings, analytic tools

This post is from top-notch opponents in my long-time fantasy NBA league… – fantasy basketball, player rankings and analytic tools.

I would like to recommend a new service for fantasy basketball junkies. fb-ninja player rankings offers free player rankings for 8 and 9-cat rotisserie fantasy basketball leagues.

Recenty they have introduced a unique feature in more advanced analysis field. It’s called “Directions”.
You need to sign up, go to “my leagues” and import your teams first.
This tool will analyze performance of your team in the season and apply recent trends in player production in order to simulate final standings in your league.
This may sound strange at first glance. But:
– if you have you ever wondered how your decissions translate into end result of your team, or
– how recently hot players can impact your final ranking, or
– where your team will rank if your players keep playing as they did in a defined period of time…
this service will deliver that data right to your screen.
Absolutely free. Well – everything they do will not cost you a dime.
In the coming days fb-ninja fantasy basketball analityc site team will further expand its’ service by adding another unique feature called “Let’s make a deal”.
If you have ever used any trade analyzer – this thing will blow you off your feet. It will not only analyze a trade – it will DESIGN one just for you!
So if you are a fantasy basketball fan – check them out, get you free account and try out their amazing tools.

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Posted by on April 22, 2014 in Fantasy for Real


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Checking 2013-14 NBA Win Predictions & Projections

With 2013-14 NBA regular season in the books it’s time for some fresh projections about the NBA playoffs!
But wait a second, aren’t we forgetting about similar predictions for the regular season? As usual I’d like to expand the effort of APBR community in an attempt to measure how successfully basketball writers, bloggers and authors predicted what will happen during the regular season regarding teams’ wins.
So which writer, blogger or author had the most accurate projections before the 2013-14 NBA season?

To answer this question I saved on my hard drive predictions in early November [it’s a reason why not all of the links below work, they’ve changed since then] from most popular sites and some googled sources [but it’s not a closed list so if you want to add your’s predictions let me know in the comments] and compared them to actual wins for each team by Root Mean Square Deviation which is essentially average difference between each prediction and final total wins in terms of absolute value. Results of this exercise are in the table below…

But please keep in mind two important notes:
1) don’t think or assume it’s all about the skills of people involved because randomness plays a huge part here… injuries and trades in most cases simply couldn’t have been predicted before the season but they affected some of the results in a big way [for example, Gay trade anyone? Or Horford’s shoulder…].
Personally I treat it as fantasy basketball on a team level and I’m more interested in the year-to-year patterns than in actual results for one particular season because it’s basically a sample of one.

2) in most cases entries next to each other are interchangeable in terms of accuracy because difference between them can be translated into “2-3 more/less wins in the right direction would flip them”.

Onto the table…
Read the rest of this entry »


Posted by on April 20, 2014 in Expanding Horizons


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